评审更新（Claude，2026-10-16 10:0xZ）：本次刷新派发之后又有四项结果，正文尚未写入。(1) 外场流量随观测年份下降（红队 RT-09 与检验 RT-09-T1）：13 个干净外场 Spearman ρ = −0.85（置换 p = 0.0004），2009 年及以前 10 个场 1.05 ± 0.08，2010 年以后 3 个场 0.55 ± 0.09，而内场全部是 2017–2018 年。这不是太阳周期 SWCX：太阳黑子数相同、相隔 13 年的两个场流量差约 2 倍（2007-08：1.04；2020-08：0.52）。剩下的解释是仪器/处理流程随年代的变化或样本挑选。因此「外场与内场在约 10–15% 内一致」以及 E022/E023 依赖外场的大核心上限，现在都标为受观测年代混杂，待 E026 重提取的 15 个 2010 年后外场与仪器示踪检验（RT-09-T2）决定。(2) 红队 RT-08：A2 上限的 toy-MC 校准只在「反射似然平移」这一 toy 模型下成立（换成高斯抽样覆盖率 0.78–0.88）；A1d 之后用模拟能谱重新校准（E028）。(3) 红队 RT-10：E027 的能谱判据在取数之前已修订（S2 只作描述；S4 改为两策略各自独有时间的比较；以软质子归一化和不依赖模型的软波段面亮度为主）；非 v19 观测的覆盖收益约为 4 个有用、5 个边缘指向，而不是约 11 个。(4) Virgo 的 ssh 已于约 08:5xZ 恢复，E026 试点继续运行；E027 的 203 个 GTI 文件已通过核验。来源：cognition-os/experiments/E025_outer_classB_fits.md（RT-09、RT-09-T1 两节）、E013（RT-08 节）、E027（RT-10 与修订 v2 节）、REDTEAM_QUEUE.md。

Review update (Claude, 2026-10-16 10:0xZ): four results arrived after this refresh was dispatched and are not yet in the text. (1) The outer-field flux falls with observation year (red team RT-09 and test RT-09-T1): Spearman ρ = −0.85 over the 13 clean outer fields (permutation p = 0.0004); the 10 fields observed in or before 2009 give 1.05 ± 0.08, the 3 fields observed in or after 2010 give 0.55 ± 0.09, while the inner fields are all from 2017–2018. This is not solar-cycle SWCX: two fields with the same sunspot number, 13 years apart, differ by about 2× (2007-08: 1.04; 2020-08: 0.52). An instrument/pipeline change with epoch, or sample selection, remains. Therefore "outer and inner agree within about 10–15%" and the E022/E023 large-core limits that use the outer fields are now marked epoch-confounded, until the 15 post-2010 outer fields in the E026 re-extraction and the instrumental-tracer test (RT-09-T2) decide. (2) Red team RT-08: the A2 toy-MC calibration holds only under the "reflected-likelihood shift" toy model (a Gaussian sampler gives coverage 0.78–0.88); after A1d the limits will be recalibrated with simulated spectra (E028). (3) Red team RT-10: the E027 spectral metrics were revised before any data (S2 descriptive only; S4 compares the time each policy keeps alone; the soft-proton norm and a model-independent soft-band surface brightness are primary); the coverage gain from non-v19 observations is about 4 useful and 5 marginal pointings, not about 11. (4) Virgo ssh returned at about 08:5xZ and the E026 pilot continues; E027's 203 GTI files passed verification. Source: cognition-os/experiments/E025_outer_classB_fits.md (RT-09 and RT-09-T1 sections), E013 (RT-08 section), E027 (RT-10 and amendment v2 sections), REDTEAM_QUEUE.md.

目录Contents

组会纪要（每天一块，最新在前）Group meetings (one block per UTC day, newest first)

PI 于 2026-10-16 要求：每次刷新都先看「组会」。每块固定四部分：成果（数字 + 来源 + 可信级别）、工作（任务、执行者、时长、决定、部署）、问题（失败、停滞、被推翻的声明与代理自己的错误，各附处置）、待 PI 决定（或「无」）。只引用有日期的记录；进行中的任务写「待定」，不猜数字。

The PI asked on 2026-10-16 that every update open with the "group meeting". Each block has exactly four parts: Results (number + source + trust state), Work (jobs, executors, hours, decisions, deploys), Problems (failures, stalls, overturned claims, and the agent's own errors, each with the action taken), and For the PI (or None). Only dated records are used; running jobs are written as "Pending" and their numbers are not guessed.

来源：cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md（2026-10-14 … 2026-10-16 各行）、cognition-os/04_DECISION_LOG.md（D48–D50 与 D49 note）、cognition-os/REDTEAM_QUEUE.md、各实验页的红队分诊节、cognition-os/03_TRUST_TABLE.md 末行、.agent/LOOP_STATE.md。

Source: the rows of cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md dated 2026-10-14 … 2026-10-16; D48–D50 and the D49 note in cognition-os/04_DECISION_LOG.md; cognition-os/REDTEAM_QUEUE.md; the red-team triage sections of the experiment pages; the last rows of cognition-os/03_TRUST_TABLE.md; .agent/LOOP_STATE.md.

2026-10-16

成果Results

红队 RT-04 已分诊（codexnim，00:1xZ；Claude 复算 audit_v19/audit_gti/audit_locatelli）：v19 总量 0.965 ± 0.044 是局部单起始基线——同模型多元起始（E020 步 A）把 14 场均值移到 0.891（−7.7%）；最终总量将来自 A1d 剖面曲面，模型 B/C 作拓扑系统误差。已接受（实质）。Locatelli 措辞改为「有条件紧张」：中心转移值 1.29 的参数范围 0.93–1.57 含 0.965，且 M31 在拟合所用 eRASS1 半球之外——不写「高估」。GTI 分支（2.filter）未定，测试 RT-04-T1 排队。来源：cognition-os/insights/I033_flat_profile_bounds_concentrated_m31_and_nw_latitude_gradient.md「Red-team RT-04 triage」节；cognition-os/REDTEAM_QUEUE.md 第 8 行。Red team RT-04 triaged (codexnim, 00:1xZ; Claude re-ran audit_v19/audit_gti/audit_locatelli): the v19 total 0.965 ± 0.044 is a local single-start baseline — same-model multi-start (E020 step A) moves the 14-field mean to 0.891 (−7.7%); the final total will come from the A1d profile surfaces, with Models B/C as a topology systematic. Accepted (material). The Locatelli wording becomes "conditional tension": the central transfer 1.29 has a parameter range 0.93–1.57 that contains 0.965, and M31 lies outside the eRASS1 half used for the fit — do not write "over-predicts". The GTI branch (2.filter) is undecided, test RT-04-T1 queued. Source: the "Red-team RT-04 triage" section of cognition-os/insights/I033_flat_profile_bounds_concentrated_m31_and_nw_latitude_gradient.md; cognition-os/REDTEAM_QUEUE.md row 8.
红队 RT-02 已分诊（codexnim 臂，03:3xZ；Claude 复算 c19b_interp_variants）：集中核上限对插值方式敏感 2.0–2.3 倍（样条比线性松；r_c 4、β 0.5：样条 0.061、线性 0.027、修掉卡点后样条 0.044）——数值未收敛，收敛值待 A1d；Zhang 比值（r_c ≤ 8 kpc）写作「≳4×」而非「≳5×」（Zhang 自身 β 0.37 在 r_c 8 给 4.3×）。E023 的「β = 0.6 时 r_c = 200 也排除」条款撤回（15% 外场斑块底噪给 UL 0.90–1.06）；E023 将在流量空间于谱曲面上重做。来源：cognition-os/experiments/E013_joint_spatial_profile_likelihood.md 与 E023_joint_norm_beta_inner_outer.md 的「Red-team RT-02 triage」节。Red team RT-02 triaged (codexnim arm, 03:3xZ; Claude re-ran c19b_interp_variants): the compact-core UL is interpolation-sensitive by 2.0–2.3× (spline looser than linear; r_c 4, β 0.5: spline 0.061, linear 0.027, 0.044 with the stuck point fixed) — not converged, the converged value awaits A1d; the Zhang ratio (r_c ≤ 8 kpc) is written "≳4×", not "≳5×" (Zhang's own β 0.37 gives 4.3× at r_c 8). E023's "at β = 0.6 even r_c = 200" clause is withdrawn (a 15% outer patchiness floor gives UL 0.90–1.06); E023 will be redone in flux space on spectral surfaces. Source: the "Red-team RT-02 triage" sections of cognition-os/experiments/E013_joint_spatial_profile_likelihood.md and E023_joint_norm_beta_inner_outer.md.
红队 RT-05 已分诊（codexnim，01:5xZ；Claude 复算 audit_tables/galaxy_slope_masked）：未解源括号写作 0.12–0.33 F，不写「0.28 保守」；AGN-mimic 项是假设，报假设自由下限 0.118 F（名义）/0.194 F（高）；AB+CV 项集中在小半径（Spearman −0.97），对 M31 上限偏保守。来源：cognition-os/experiments/E016_unresolved_point_source_contribution.md「Red-team RT-05 triage」节。Red team RT-05 triaged (codexnim, 01:5xZ; Claude re-ran audit_tables/galaxy_slope_masked): the unresolved-source bracket is 0.12–0.33 F, not "0.28 conservative"; the AGN-mimic term is an assumption, so the assumption-free floor 0.118 F (nominal) / 0.194 F (high) is reported alongside; the AB+CV term is concentrated at small radii (Spearman −0.97), conservative for the M31 limits. Source: the "Red-team RT-05 triage" section of cognition-os/experiments/E016_unresolved_point_source_contribution.md.
红队 RT-06 已分诊（codexnim，03:4xZ；Claude 复算 pareto_gti_audit/rass_sensitivity/omni_threshold_audit/sp_stat）：D49 原文成立——RASS 只能排除宽的 R45 亮超出（足迹稀释：28% 足迹内超出稀释到 1.09–1.14，观测 0.91 ± 0.12），不排除足迹尺度或弱映射进 R45 的结构；OMNI 只排除 OMNI 追踪的高通量 SWCX，日球层 SWCX 未检验；NW 四场的 SP/QPB 比值约为其余十场的 3×（3.06×，事后 p ≈ 0.005–0.008）——「未解释」倾向软质子。来源：cognition-os/experiments/E014_nw_gradient_rass_omni_crosscheck.md 与 cognition-os/insights/I034 的「Red-team RT-06 triage」节；cognition-os/04_DECISION_LOG.md「D49 note」。Red team RT-06 triaged (codexnim, 03:4xZ; Claude re-ran pareto_gti_audit/rass_sensitivity/omni_threshold_audit/sp_stat): D49 stands as written — RASS excludes only a broad R45-bright excess (footprint dilution: a 28% excess inside the footprints dilutes to 1.09–1.14 against the observed 0.91 ± 0.12), not footprint-scale structure or a spectrum that maps weakly into R45; OMNI excludes only OMNI-traced high-flux SWCX, and heliospheric SWCX is untested; the NW four's SP/QPB ratio is about 3× the other ten (3.06×, a posteriori p ≈ 0.005–0.008) — "unexplained" leans towards soft protons. Source: the "Red-team RT-06 triage" sections of cognition-os/experiments/E014_nw_gradient_rass_omni_crosscheck.md and cognition-os/insights/I034; the "D49 note" of cognition-os/04_DECISION_LOG.md.
红队 RT-07 已分诊（codexnim，05:2xZ；Claude 复算 recompute_zhang/bandpass_actual_nh_range）：Zhang 转移的算术与能带标签通过（0.828 = 吸收 0.5–2 keV，正确比较；0.942 = 0.4–1.25 keV 主带）；措辞改为「排除 Zhang 的名义中值剖面 ≳4×」，不写「排除叠加预期」（只发布 16/84% 边际，无协方差）；v19 APEC 桥给 0.76–0.90。来源：cognition-os/insights/I033「Red-team RT-07 triage」节；cognition-os/03_TRUST_TABLE.md 第 55 行。Red team RT-07 triaged (codexnim, 05:2xZ; Claude re-ran recompute_zhang/bandpass_actual_nh_range): the Zhang transfer's arithmetic and band labels survived (0.828 = absorbed 0.5–2 keV, the right comparison; 0.942 = the 0.4–1.25 keV primary); the wording becomes "exclude the nominal median Zhang profile by ≳4×", never "exclude the stacked expectation" (only 16/84 % marginals are published, no covariance); the v19 APEC bridge gives 0.76–0.90. Source: the "Red-team RT-07 triage" section of cognition-os/insights/I033; row 55 of cognition-os/03_TRUST_TABLE.md.
红队 RT-03 已分诊（codexnim，2026-10-15 22:2xZ，Claude 复核 5/5；评审横幅 23:15Z 并入本站）：干净外样本 IVW 有 27% 权重来自单一场（0884992601），样本过度离散（χ²/dof 2.27）；随机效应给外/内 = 0.94 ± 0.11（全部 23 场 0.89 ± 0.08），逐一剔除 0.83–0.99——稳妥说法是外场与内场在约 10–15% 内一致，「外场更暗」不稳健。E022 的平坦 M31 项上限仍成立，写作 ≲ 0.4–0.46（2σ）。来源：cognition-os/experiments/E025_outer_classB_fits.md「Red-team RT-03 triage」节；cognition-os/03_TRUST_TABLE.md 第 89 行。Red team RT-03 triaged (codexnim, 2026-10-15 22:2xZ, Claude reproduced 5/5; folded into this site from the 23:15Z review banner): the clean outer IVW mean carries 27% of its weight in one field (0884992601) and the sample is overdispersed (χ²/dof 2.27); random effects give outer/inner = 0.94 ± 0.11 (all 23 fields 0.89 ± 0.08), leave-one-out 0.83–0.99 — the safe statement is that outer and inner agree within ~10–15%, and "the outer fields are fainter" is not robust. E022's bound on a flat M31 term still holds, written ≲ 0.4–0.46 (2σ). Source: the "Red-team RT-03 triage" section of cognition-os/experiments/E025_outer_classB_fits.md; row 89 of cognition-os/03_TRUST_TABLE.md.
E027 stage 0/0b 完成（PI 2026-10-16 两次要求；Claude，06:0xZ/06:2xZ）：PI 先问「GATE vs FLR_z3 vs MS_z3.5_core 对我们结果的改进」，随后把范围改为全部 31 个 LP 080073 观测——问题变成「这些策略能保留多少有价值的时间、降低多少误差，以及能谱分析后如何反馈 ParetoGTI 标准设计」。Stage 0（14 主场的灯光曲线级筛查，ParetoGTICal criterion-v3.1 per_obs 表）：GATE 不可用（丢掉 5–6 个主场，含 NW 四场中的 2–3 个）；FLR_z3 与 MS_z3.5_core 清洗效果相同（NW 四场总水平各降约 −2%、其余约 −0.5%），代价不同（MS 损失 2–3% 曝光，FLR 约 10%）；对 NW 超出的预期效应小（NW−其他差变 −1.4 至 −2.3% 的总水平，最多约为 CGMsum 中 ~25% NW 超出的四分之一）；场间一致性无改善（MOS1 0.132 → 0.128/0.132，MOS2 0.056 → 0.064）。Stage 0b（31 个观测）：总量掩盖了再分配——2.1.filter、FLR_z3、MS_z3.5_core 保留的总量相近（none 的 0.61–0.65），但落在不同观测上；主要价值是覆盖：这些策略可能把多达约 11 个非 v19 指向变成可用场（MOS2 MS_z3.5_core 在其上约 64 ks）；观测内超出方差 2.filter 剩 4.6/6.7%（MOS1/MOS2，K 加权 rms），FLR_z3 2.3/3.1%，MS_z3.5_core 3.4/2.8%；GATE 只保留 10–11 个观测，仅作能谱对照。谱级 stage 1 的指标 S1–S4 已预注册（2026-10-16 06:2xZ，任何谱结果之前）。来源：cognition-os/experiments/E027_gti_policy_screen.md（stage 0、stage 0b 与预注册节）；cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md 181、183 行。E027 stages 0/0b done (the PI's two 2026-10-16 requests; Claude, 06:0xZ/06:2xZ): the PI first asked about "GATE vs FLR_z3 vs MS_z3.5_core for the improvement to our results", then rescoped it to all 31 LP 080073 observations — the question became "how much valuable time do these policies keep, how much error do they reduce, and how should the spectral analysis feed back into ParetoGTI criterion design". Stage 0 (a light-curve-level screen of the 14 primaries, from ParetoGTICal's criterion-v3.1 per_obs table): GATE is unusable (it drops 5–6 primaries, including 2–3 of the NW four); FLR_z3 and MS_z3.5_core clean identically (about −2% on the NW four's gross level, about −0.5% on the others) at different cost (MS costs 2–3% of the exposure, FLR_z3 about 10%); the expected effect on the NW excess is small (the NW−other difference moves by −1.4 to −2.3% of the gross level, at most about a quarter of the ~25% NW excess in CGMsum); no gain in field-to-field consistency (MOS1 0.132 → 0.128/0.132, MOS2 0.056 → 0.064). Stage 0b (31 observations): totals hide the redistribution — 2.1.filter, FLR_z3 and MS_z3.5_core keep similar totals (0.61–0.65 of none) but on different observations; the main value is coverage: the policies may turn up to ~11 non-v19 pointings into usable fields (MOS2 MS_z3.5_core gives ≈64 ks on them); within-observation excess variance leaves 4.6/6.7% (MOS1/MOS2, K-weighted rms) under 2.filter, 2.3/3.1% under FLR_z3 and 3.4/2.8% under MS_z3.5_core; GATE keeps only 10–11 observations and is a spectral control only. The spectral stage-1 metrics S1–S4 were pre-registered (2026-10-16 06:2xZ, before any spectral result). Source: cognition-os/experiments/E027_gti_policy_screen.md (the stage-0, stage-0b and pre-registration sections); rows 181 and 183 of cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md.
信任表措辞更新（2026-10-16，第 55/73/80/82/86/87 行）：集中核行加「UL 对插值敏感 2.0–2.3 倍、收敛检查在 A1d」；大核行加「β 0.6 大核端在 RT-02 后边际、单一流量/norm 转换 → A1d 后在流量空间重做」；外/内行改记随机效应 0.94 ± 0.11 与「10–15% 内一致」；Zhang 行加 RT-07 措辞。来源：cognition-os/03_TRUST_TABLE.md 对应行。Trust-table wording updated (2026-10-16, rows 55/73/80/82/86/87): the compact-core row adds "the UL is interpolation-sensitive by 2.0–2.3×, convergence check on A1d"; the large-core row adds "the β 0.6 large-core end is marginal after RT-02, single flux/norm conversion → redo in flux space after A1d"; the outer/inner row records the random-effects 0.94 ± 0.11 and "agree within ~10–15%"; the Zhang row adds RT-07's wording. Source: the matching rows of cognition-os/03_TRUST_TABLE.md.

工作Work

红队分诊：RT-04（22:20–23:55Z，1.6 h，codexnim）、RT-05（00:08–01:14Z，1.1 h，codexnim）、RT-02（3 个会话，Hermes s1/s2 未出报告，codexnim 臂 03:08Z 出；墙钟 11.8 h）、RT-06（01:51–03:11Z，1.3 h，codexnim）、RT-07（03:40–04:59Z，1.3 h，codexnim）。RT-03 于 2026-10-15 22:2xZ 分诊（3.0 h）。Claude 逐条复算并更新 I033/E013/E023/E014/I034/E016、信任表与队列。来源：cognition-os/REDTEAM_QUEUE.md 各行；cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md 48–54 行。Red-team triage: RT-04 (22:20–23:55Z, 1.6 h, codexnim), RT-05 (00:08–01:14Z, 1.1 h, codexnim), RT-02 (3 sessions; the Hermes s1/s2 arms produced no report, the codexnim arm reported at 03:08Z; wall 11.8 h), RT-06 (01:51–03:11Z, 1.3 h, codexnim), RT-07 (03:40–04:59Z, 1.3 h, codexnim). RT-03 was triaged at 2026-10-15 22:2xZ (3.0 h). Claude reproduced every check and updated I033/E013/E023/E014/I034/E016, the trust table and the queue. Source: the rows of cognition-os/REDTEAM_QUEUE.md; rows 48–54 of cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md.
A1d（v19 模型多元起始曲面，A2 新基线）运行中：04:33Z 约 1055/1638，05:25Z 约 1155/1638（ETA ~09:30Z）。来源：cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md 53–54 行。A1d (v19-model multi-start surfaces, the new A2 baseline) is running: ~1055/1638 at 04:33Z, ~1155/1638 at 05:25Z (ETA ~09:30Z). Source: rows 53–54 of cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md.
E026（28 场 Virgo 重提取）stage 1 试点仍在 Virgo 上：00:55Z 首次失败（codexnim 调试中），01:05Z 重跑，04:33Z 报第 8 次尝试（SAS wrapper/fkeypar shim 修复；Virgo NVMe 426 GB 可用，接近 400 GB 下限）。试点场仍为 NGC449（edetect_stack 阶段）。结果待定。来源：cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md 49–54 行。E026 (28-field Virgo re-extraction) stage-1 pilot is still on Virgo: the first attempt failed at 00:55Z (codexnim debugging), rerun from 01:05Z, attempt 8 reported at 04:33Z (SAS wrapper/fkeypar shim fixes; Virgo NVMe 426 GB free, near the 400 GB floor). The pilot field is still NGC449 (edetect_stack stage). Results Pending. Source: rows 49–54 of cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md.
新派发：RT-08（A2 toy-MC 校准，codexnim，03:4xZ，运行中）、RT-09（外样本选择与清洗，codexnim，05:25Z，运行中）。来源：cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md 52、54 行；cognition-os/REDTEAM_QUEUE.md 15–16 行。New dispatches: RT-08 (the A2 toy-MC calibration, codexnim, 03:4xZ, running), RT-09 (outer-sample selection and cleaning, codexnim, 05:25Z, running). Source: rows 52 and 54 of cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md; rows 15–16 of cognition-os/REDTEAM_QUEUE.md.
PI 决定：无新决定（D50 已于 2026-10-15 决定）。PI 2026-10-16 的要求（每次刷新先看组会）本身作为当天的工作项记录，并已落入 handbook skill 0.9.9（组会卡 + meetings.html 归档）。来源：cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md 50 行。PI decisions: none new (D50 was decided on 2026-10-15). The PI's 2026-10-16 request (open every update with the group meeting) is itself recorded as that day's work item and landed in handbook skill 0.9.9 (the group-meeting card plus the meetings.html archive). Source: row 50 of cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md.
红队 RT-08 与 RT-09：报告已交，分诊待定（codexnim）：RT-08（A2 toy-MC 校准）06:18Z 报告 27 kB——已知弱点：近似未对参数化自举检验、toy 中 kT 固定、边界在 A ≥ 0、v1/v2 覆盖率走向相反；RT-09（外样本选择与清洗）05:25Z 派发，运行中——已知弱点：选择可能与目标发射相关、掩膜判据、干净 vs 被排除的偏差、历元。两队的数字本站一律不引用，等 Claude 分诊。来源：cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md 55 行；cognition-os/REDTEAM_QUEUE.md 15–16 行。Red teams RT-08 and RT-09: reports in, triage Pending (codexnim): RT-08 (the A2 toy-MC calibration) filed a 27 kB report at 06:18Z — known weaknesses: the approximation is untested against a parametric bootstrap, kT is held in the toys, the boundary is at A ≥ 0, and v1/v2 coverage go opposite ways; RT-09 (outer-sample selection and cleaning) was dispatched at 05:25Z and is running — known weaknesses: selection may correlate with target emission, the mask criterion, clean vs excluded bias, epochs. This site quotes no numbers from either team until Claude triages them. Source: row 55 of cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md; rows 15–16 of cognition-os/REDTEAM_QUEUE.md.
E027 stage 1 已派发（06:26Z）：1a GTI 导出（lang，codexnim）——从 ParetoGTICal 的 20 s 缓存与策略模块导出每泳道 GTI FITS，核对 Σlive 与 per_obs K 到 1%；1b Virgo 提取（31 个观测 × 泳道，共享 RMF/ARF）须等 ssh 恢复且 E026 试点通过；1c 在 lang 拟合；1d 反馈备忘录 FEEDBACK_ParetoGTI.md 交 PI 转交 ParetoGTI。RT-04-T1（GTI 分支测试）已并入 stage 1。来源：.agent/LOOP_STATE.md 的 E027 队；cognition-os/experiments/E027_gti_policy_screen.md「Stage 1 plan and pre-registration」节。E027 stage 1 dispatched (06:26Z): 1a GTI export (lang, codexnim) — export per-lane GTI FITS from ParetoGTICal's 20 s caches and policy modules, checking Σlive against per_obs K to 1%; 1b Virgo extraction (31 observations × lanes, shared RMF/ARF) waits for ssh to return and for E026's pilot to pass; 1c fits on lang; 1d a feedback memo FEEDBACK_ParetoGTI.md for the PI to pass on. RT-04-T1 (the GTI-branch test) is merged into stage 1. Source: the E027 queue entry of .agent/LOOP_STATE.md; the "Stage 1 plan and pre-registration" section of cognition-os/experiments/E027_gti_policy_screen.md.
部署：无科学部署；本组会页与首页刷新为本站刷新 5（Hermes stage7，05:25Z 启动写作）。来源：cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md 54 行。Deploys: no science deploy; this meeting page and the home refresh are this site's refresh 5 (Hermes stage7, launched for writing at 05:25Z). Source: row 54 of cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md.

问题Problems

红队 RT-02 的 Hermes 臂两次未出报告（s1 15:18Z 起、s2 22:2xZ 起，上下文分别涨到 1.27M/2.8M，报告陈旧）。处置：01:00Z 转交 codexnim 臂（从 27 项 Hermes 检查写报告），路由记录「codexnim 3/3 红队报告、Hermes 0/1」。来源：cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md 49 行。Red team RT-02's Hermes arm produced no report twice (s1 from 15:18Z, s2 from 22:2xZ, contexts growing to 1.27M/2.8M with stale reports). Action: handed to the codexnim arm at 01:00Z (writing the report from the 27 Hermes checks), with the routing note "codexnim delivered 3/3 red-team reports, Hermes 0/1". Source: row 49 of cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md.

Virgo ssh 自 06:16Z 起不可达（端口 5986 超时，ping 正常）——E026 状态未知，codexnim 正在重试。处置：E027 的 1b Virgo 提取排在 ssh 恢复与 E026 试点通过之后；不猜测 E026 的中间状态。来源：cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md 55 行。Virgo ssh has been unreachable since 06:16Z (port 5986 timeout, ping OK) — E026's status is unknown and codexnim is retrying. Action: E027's 1b Virgo extraction is queued behind ssh's return and E026's pilot passing; E026's intermediate state is not guessed. Source: row 55 of cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md.

E026 试点反复失败（00:55Z 失败；04:33Z 第 8 次尝试，SAS wrapper/fkeypar shim 问题；Virgo NVMe 接近下限）。处置：codexnim 就地调试，未换场；结果待定。来源：cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md 49、53 行。The E026 pilot keeps failing (failed at 00:55Z; attempt 8 at 04:33Z, SAS wrapper/fkeypar shim issues; Virgo NVMe near its floor). Action: codexnim debugs in place, no field change; results Pending. Source: rows 49 and 53 of cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md.

被推翻/收窄的声明（均已在源记录处置，本站同步）：(i) A2 v1「Zhang 排除 ≳5×」→「≳4×」（RT-02 O7）；(ii) E023「β 0.6 时 r_c ≤ 200 全部排除」→ 撤回，改为「β 0.6 大核端边际」（RT-02 O10/O11/O12）；(iii)「外场比内场暗」→「约 10–15% 内一致」（RT-03）；(iv)「Locatelli 高估」→「有条件紧张」（RT-04）；(v) I034 第 3 点「模型 C 是对的手柄」→ 撤回（RT-06 重复项）；(vi) E016「0.28 保守」→「0.12–0.33 括号」（RT-05）。来源：各红队分诊节（见「成果」）。Overturned/narrowed claims (all handled in the source records and mirrored here): (i) A2 v1's "Zhang excluded ≳5×" → "≳4×" (RT-02 O7); (ii) E023's "at β = 0.6 even r_c ≤ 200" → withdrawn, now "the β 0.6 large-core end is marginal" (RT-02 O10/O11/O12); (iii) "the outer fields are fainter" → "agree within ~10–15%" (RT-03); (iv) "Locatelli over-predicts" → "conditional tension" (RT-04); (v) I034 point 3's "Model C is the right handle" → withdrawn (RT-06 duplicate); (vi) E016's "0.28 conservative" → "0.12–0.33 bracket" (RT-05). Source: the red-team triage sections (see Results).

红队自身的错误：RT-04 对 ParetoGTICal C001 的数字误读（s_sys 是分数不是百分数，且样本是 2.1.filter 不切割的观测主导的拼接集）——判为误报子声明；RT-02 的 Hermes 臂 O1/O3/O8 用 np.interp 在网格边缘钳位、O2 的 C03 参数过滤 bug（把 0601 重拟合报成 19.77，正确 ≤ 26.25）、O4 单位推导——全部判为误报。处置：在队列中注明，门槛值已改。来源：cognition-os/REDTEAM_QUEUE.md 第 6、8 行；cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md 44、48 行。The red teams' own errors: RT-04 misread ParetoGTICal's C001 numbers (s_sys values are fractions, not %, and the population is the concatenated set dominated by observations 2.1.filter does not cut) — classified as a false-alarm sub-claim; RT-02's Hermes arm O1/O3/O8 used np.interp clamping at the grid edge, O2's C03 filter bug (reporting 0601's refit as 19.77, correct ≤ 26.25) and O4's unit derivation — all false alarms. Action: noted in the queue, the gate value corrected. Source: rows 6 and 8 of cognition-os/REDTEAM_QUEUE.md; rows 44 and 48 of cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md.

代理自己的错误（2026-10-15 记录）：(i) 我给 A1d 设的门槛照抄了 RT-02 未分诊的 19.77，A1d 因此 BLOCKED——20:36Z 核实为该脚本 bug（第 70 行），门槛改为合法 v19 起始 ≤ 26.25（A1 38.70，卡点仍真实），网格恢复；(ii) 我给刷新 4 提示词写的两个数错了（外样本 21 → 26 个已拟合方向；0601「重拟合 19.8」未分诊）——评审已在页面改正；(iii) 我给 E014 简报的「exposure」假设错了（hp_rN_exp 是 rate-uncertainty 图）——luna 判读后改正。来源：cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md 44 行；.agent/jobs/2026-10-14-handbook/reviews/H001_refresh4_claude.md；cognition-os/experiments/E014 的 interim 节。The agent's own errors (recorded 2026-10-15): (i) my A1d gate copied RT-02's untriaged 19.77, so A1d stopped BLOCKED — at 20:36Z I verified it was that script's bug (line 70) and changed the gate to a legitimate v19 start ≤ 26.25 (A1 38.70, the stuck point still real), and the grid resumed; (ii) two numbers in my refresh-4 prompt were wrong (the outer sample 21 → 26 fitted directions; 0601's "refit 19.8" untriaged) — the reviewer fixed them on the pages; (iii) my "exposure" assumption in the E014 brief was wrong (hp_rN_exp is the rate-uncertainty map) — luna corrected it after reading the headers. Source: row 44 of cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md; .agent/jobs/2026-10-14-handbook/reviews/H001_refresh4_claude.md; the interim section of cognition-os/experiments/E014.

机器负载与 worker 超额：2026-10-15 09:06Z load 69（XARTATOMS 任务约 33 个单线程 worker，非本项目，已报 PI 未触碰）；01:23Z 记录 worker 数 9 > 上限（我的派发错误，已记）。来源：cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md 22、31 行。Machine load and worker overrun: at 2026-10-15 09:06Z load 69 (the XARTATOMS job with ~33 single-thread workers, not ours, reported to the PI and not touched); at 01:23Z a worker count of 9 > cap was recorded (my dispatch error, noted). Source: rows 22 and 31 of cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md.

待 PI 决定For the PI

无。D50 已于 2026-10-15 决定；红队 RT-08/RT-09 与 A1d、E026、E027 stage 1 的结果出来前不需要新决定。

None. D50 was decided on 2026-10-15; no new decision is needed before the results of red teams RT-08/RT-09 and of A1d, E026 and E027 stage 1 land.

2026-10-15

成果Results

红队 RT-01 已分诊（18:5xZ；Claude 复核 6/6，0 误报）：E020 模型 C 的「−15% 是 SP 谱形系统误差」不成立——−15.04% 中 v19 重收敛（A 步）−7.65%、SP 谱形（A→B）−5.29%、线能量（B→C）−2.87%；NW/其余比值（共同误差）1.345 → 1.133（A）→ 1.134（C），下降在重收敛步；等权重下模型 C 内 NW 超出仍在（1.34）。D49 更新撤回，D49 原文生效（≈0.25 未解释场级项），I033 第 5 条回到 Questioned，模型 C 降级为敏感性变体。来源：cognition-os/experiments/E020_sample_reconverge_sp_shape_line_energy.md「Red-team RT-01 triage」节；cognition-os/04_DECISION_LOG.md D49 update 节。Red team RT-01 triaged (18:5xZ; Claude reproduced 6/6, 0 false alarms): E020 Model C's "the −15% is an SP-shape systematic" does not hold — of −15.04%, the v19 re-convergence (step A) gives −7.65%, the SP shape (A→B) −5.29%, the line energies (B→C) −2.87%; the NW/other ratio (common errors) goes 1.345 → 1.133 (A) → 1.134 (C), the drop at re-convergence; with equal weights the NW excess survives under Model C (1.34). The D49 update is withdrawn, D49 stands as written (the ≈0.25 unexplained field-level term), I033 point 5 is back to Questioned, and Model C is demoted to a sensitivity variant. Source: the "Red-team RT-01 triage" section of cognition-os/experiments/E020_sample_reconverge_sp_shape_line_energy.md; the D49-update section of cognition-os/04_DECISION_LOG.md.

E025 完成（luna，stage 1 16:17Z 接受，correction 1 17:24Z 接受）：P1 12/12 场掩膜审计未过（掩膜只盖引文展源圆 0–9%）→ 全部转重提取；P2 19 场拟了 18 个（1 个 dof=0 剔除），3 个无有限通量误差；干净外样本（13 场）IVW 0.846 ± 0.059 vs 内场 0.965 ± 0.044，外/内 = 0.877 ± 0.072；全部 23 场 0.831 ± 0.045；与 b、N_H 无相关。correction 1：10 个 P2 a+b 场也未过掩膜审计 → 重提取清单 = 6 + 12 + 10 = 28 场。来源：cognition-os/experiments/E025_outer_classB_fits.md（result 与 correction 1 节）。E025 done (luna, stage 1 accepted 16:17Z, correction 1 accepted 17:24Z): all 12 P1 fields fail the mask audit (the mask covers 0–9% of the cited extended-target circle) → all to re-extraction; 18 of 19 P2 fits accepted (1 rejected, dof = 0), 3 without a finite flux error; the clean outer sample (13 fields) has IVW 0.846 ± 0.059 vs the inner 0.965 ± 0.044, outer/inner = 0.877 ± 0.072; all 23 fields 0.831 ± 0.045; no trend with b or N_H. Correction 1: the 10 P2 a+b fields also fail the mask audit → the re-extraction list = 6 + 12 + 10 = 28 fields. Source: cognition-os/experiments/E025_outer_classB_fits.md (the result and correction-1 sections).

A2 v2 final（18:26Z，模型 C 曲面，敏感性变体）：β = 0.5 时 r_c = 4/8/15/30 插值上限 0.111/0.138/0.215/0.484；toy-MC 覆盖率 0.918–0.933（< 0.95）——Δstat = 2.71 在模型 C 曲面上略不保守，校准阈值待做；Zhang/上限（r_c ≤ 8）= 3.9–12 倍。来源：cognition-os/experiments/E013_joint_spatial_profile_likelihood.md「A2 v2 final」节。A2 v2 final (18:26Z, Model-C surfaces, a sensitivity variant): for β = 0.5 the interpolated limits at r_c = 4/8/15/30 are 0.111/0.138/0.215/0.484; toy-MC coverage 0.918–0.933 (< 0.95) — the Δstat = 2.71 rule is slightly anti-conservative on the Model-C surfaces, a calibrated threshold is TODO; Zhang/UL for r_c ≤ 8 = 3.9–12x. Source: the "A2 v2 final" section of cognition-os/experiments/E013_joint_spatial_profile_likelihood.md.

I034（ParetoGTICal 交叉核对，15:2xZ）：v19 谱继承历史 2.1.filter GTI（三个场 sha256 逐字节核对）；对 14 主场 2.1.filter 保留时间不多于 2.filter（更严）；NW 四场损失 0–28%，而 1101/2301/2801 损失 17–25% 却不亮——残余耀斑不是 NW 超出的解释；稳态 SP 对时间筛选不可见；同 z 场间 rms 底噪 9–12%。来源：cognition-os/insights/I034_paretogtical_crosscheck_gti_and_between_field_floor.md。I034 (the ParetoGTICal cross-check, 15:2xZ): the v19 spectra inherit the historical 2.1.filter GTIs (sha256 byte-identical on three fields); on the 14 primaries 2.1.filter keeps no more time than 2.filter (stricter); the NW four lose 0–28% while 1101/2301/2801 lose 17–25% without being bright — residual flare time is not the explanation of the NW excess; a steady SP floor is invisible to time filtering; a 9–12% rms between-field floor at the same z. Source: cognition-os/insights/I034_paretogtical_crosscheck_gti_and_between_field_floor.md.

红队 RT-03 已分诊（22:2xZ；Claude 复核 5/5）：见 2026-10-16 块首条「成果」——随机效应外/内 0.94 ± 0.11，稳妥说法「约 10–15% 内一致」；E022 平坦项上限 ≲ 0.4–0.46 仍成立。来源：cognition-os/experiments/E025_outer_classB_fits.md「Red-team RT-03 triage」节。Red team RT-03 triaged (22:2xZ; Claude reproduced 5/5): see the first Results item of the 2026-10-16 block — random-effects outer/inner 0.94 ± 0.11, the safe statement "agree within ~10–15%"; E022's flat-term bound ≲ 0.4–0.46 still holds. Source: the "Red-team RT-03 triage" section of cognition-os/experiments/E025_outer_classB_fits.md.

工作Work

PI 决定 D50（15:2xZ，「同意第二个」）：采纳 E024 建议——P1+P2 立即拟合（E025）、6 个真正外围场 Virgo 重提取、跳过 P4、弃 NGC 147（仅剩 22% 视场）。条件：拟合前审计掩膜是否盖住引文半径；Virgo GTI 必须复现 2.1.filter 约定并逐相机报告相对 2.filter 的保留时间。来源：cognition-os/04_DECISION_LOG.md D50。PI decision D50 (15:2xZ, "agree with the second"): adopts E024's suggestion — fit P1+P2 now (E025), re-extract 6 genuinely-outer fields on Virgo, skip P4, drop NGC 147 (22% of the field of view left). Conditions: audit before fitting whether the mask covers each cited radius; the Virgo GTI step must reproduce the 2.1.filter convention and report retained time vs 2.filter per camera. Source: D50 in cognition-os/04_DECISION_LOG.md.

执行者与时长：E024（Hermes，08:15Z → ~13:2xZ，$0）；E025（luna，15:17Z → 16:17Z，$0.33）；A2 v2 final 与 toy MC（Claude）；A1c densify correction 1（codexnim，14:38Z 备份后至 17:5xZ 完成）；RT-01（codexnim，15:18–17:49Z，2.5 h）；RT-03（codexnim，18:50–21:51Z，3.0 h）；RT-02（Hermes，15:18Z 起）。来源：cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md 36–46 行；cognition-os/REDTEAM_QUEUE.md。Executors and hours: E024 (Hermes, 08:15Z → ~13:2xZ, $0); E025 (luna, 15:17Z → 16:17Z, $0.33); the A2 v2 final run and toy MC (Claude); the A1c densify correction 1 (codexnim, backups at 14:38Z, complete by 17:5xZ); RT-01 (codexnim, 15:18–17:49Z, 2.5 h); RT-03 (codexnim, 18:50–21:51Z, 3.0 h); RT-02 (Hermes, from 15:18Z). Source: rows 36–46 of cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md; cognition-os/REDTEAM_QUEUE.md.

新派发：A1d（codexnim，18:50Z，v19 模型多元起始曲面 = A2 新基线）、E026 stage 0（codexnim，19:39Z 完成：Virgo 上无 ODF，需 NXSA；负载 77%）与 stage 1（runner + 试点，28 场）。来源：cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md 42–43 行。New dispatches: A1d (codexnim, 18:50Z, v19-model multi-start surfaces = the new A2 baseline), E026 stage 0 (codexnim, done 19:39Z: no ODFs on Virgo, NXSA needed; load 77%) and stage 1 (runner + pilot, 28 fields). Source: rows 42–43 of cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md.

部署：本站刷新 4 于 23:15Z 评审并部署（bc90575d，23:18Z 的 bce05c97 修正横幅时间）；评审横幅记录 RT-03 分诊与 RT-02 的 19.8 更正。来源：.agent/jobs/2026-10-14-handbook/reviews/H001_refresh4_claude.md；cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md 47 行。Deploys: this site's refresh 4 was reviewed and deployed at 23:15Z (bc90575d, with the banner time fixed in bce05c97 at 23:18Z); the review banner records RT-03's triage and RT-02's 19.8 correction. Source: .agent/jobs/2026-10-14-handbook/reviews/H001_refresh4_claude.md; row 47 of cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md.

PI 决定：D50（见上）；无其他新决定。PI decisions: D50 (above); none other.

问题Problems

A1d 被我的门槛误挡：20:36Z 发现 A1d 停止 BLOCKED——我设的门槛照抄了 RT-02 未分诊的 19.77，而它来自其脚本的冻结参数过滤 bug（第 70 行核实）；合法 v19 起始 ≤ 26.25（A1 为 38.70），卡点仍真实、幅度被高估。处置：门槛改正，网格恢复。来源：cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md 44 行。A1d was blocked by my own gate: at 20:36Z A1d was found stopped BLOCKED — my gate copied RT-02's untriaged 19.77, which came from a frozen-parameter filter bug in its script (verified at line 70); a legitimate v19 start is ≤ 26.25 (A1 is 38.70), so the stuck point is real but its magnitude was overstated. Action: the gate was corrected and the grid resumed. Source: row 44 of cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md.

RT-02 的 Hermes 臂停滞：21:27Z 上下文 2.53M、报告自 17:44Z 起陈旧；22:20Z 在 2.8M 处停止，作为 session 2 重启写报告。处置：见 2026-10-16 块（01:00Z 转 codexnim 臂）。来源：cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md 45–46、49 行。RT-02's Hermes arm stalled: at 21:27Z its context was 2.53M with a report stale since 17:44Z; at 22:20Z it stopped at 2.8M and was relaunched as session 2 to write the report. Action: see the 2026-10-16 block (handed to the codexnim arm at 01:00Z). Source: rows 45–46 and 49 of cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md.

被推翻的声明：D49 更新（−15% SP 谱形系统误差）被 RT-01 推翻并撤回；I033 第 5 条（NW 超出 = 固定 SP 谱形伪迹）回到 Questioned；E018a 早期「外 NW 超出大半是拟合伪迹」的解读同案收窄为「重收敛步解释了大半移动」。来源：cognition-os/experiments/E020「Red-team RT-01 triage」节；cognition-os/04_DECISION_LOG.md D49 update 节。Overturned claims: the D49 update (a −15% SP-shape systematic) was overturned by RT-01 and withdrawn; I033 point 5 (the NW excess is a fixed-SP-shape artefact) is back to Questioned; E018a's early reading "most of the outer-NW excess is a fitting artefact" is narrowed to "the re-convergence step explains most of the shift". Source: the "Red-team RT-01 triage" section of cognition-os/experiments/E020; the D49-update section of cognition-os/04_DECISION_LOG.md.

代理自己的错误：01:23Z 记录 worker 数 9 > 上限（我的派发错误）；我给刷新 4 提示词的两个数错了（外样本 21 → 26 个已拟合方向；0601「重拟合 19.8」未分诊），评审已在页面改正。来源：cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md 22 行；.agent/jobs/2026-10-14-handbook/reviews/H001_refresh4_claude.md。The agent's own errors: at 01:23Z a worker count of 9 > cap was recorded (my dispatch error); two numbers in my refresh-4 prompt were wrong (the outer sample 21 → 26 fitted directions; 0601's "refit 19.8" untriaged), and the reviewer fixed them on the pages. Source: row 22 of cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md; .agent/jobs/2026-10-14-handbook/reviews/H001_refresh4_claude.md.

E022 的模型 C 外场剖面误差不可用（χ² 168/7）——luna correction 1 已把它降为系统变体，外均值只用 v19 协方差误差。来源：cognition-os/experiments/E022_outer_classA_spectral_fits.md（correction 1 节）。E022's Model-C outer profile errors are unusable (χ² 168/7) — luna's correction 1 demoted it to a systematic variant and the outer mean uses only the v19 covariance errors. Source: cognition-os/experiments/E022_outer_classA_spectral_fits.md (the correction-1 section).

待 PI 决定For the PI

D49 更新的撤回由 RT-01 分诊自动生效（PI 无需再决）；外 B 场政策由 D50 决定。无其他待决项。

The D49-update withdrawal took effect automatically from RT-01's triage (no PI decision needed); the outer class-B policy was decided by D50. No other pending item.

2026-10-14

成果Results

D48：v19 测量冻结（05:43Z，PI 接受）：14 主场 CGMsum 吸收 0.5–2 keV 流量 0.965 ± 0.044，共温 kT = 0.17531 ± 0.00436 keV；论文定名 New-ANGELS III；Kavanagh 2020 更正（其区域是盘旁背景，非晕视线）。I033 快速形状检验：轮廓平（χ² = 11.99/13）、集中 M31 β 上限 0.05–0.19 @20 kpc、外 NW 纬度梯度 Δχ² = 6.2。来源：cognition-os/04_DECISION_LOG.md D48；cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md 122 行。D48: the v19 measurement is frozen (05:43Z, accepted by the PI): the 14 primary fields' absorbed 0.5–2 keV CGMsum flux is 0.965 ± 0.044, common kT = 0.17531 ± 0.00436 keV; the paper is named New-ANGELS III; the Kavanagh 2020 correction (their regions are disc-adjacent backgrounds, not halo sightlines). The I033 quick shape check: a flat profile (χ² = 11.99/13), a concentrated M31 beta limit 0.05–0.19 at 20 kpc, and an outer-NW latitude gradient Δχ² = 6.2. Source: D48 in cognition-os/04_DECISION_LOG.md; row 122 of cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md.

E014 完成，D49 落笔（08:18Z，PI 同意）：外 NW 四场偏亮不是大尺度天空结构（RASS 比值 0.91 ± 0.12 vs XMM 1.28，无纬度梯度 −2.4 ± 1.4 %/deg），不是 OMNI 追踪的太阳风电荷交换（无窗口超 4e8 cm⁻² s⁻¹）；SP/QPB 偏高（比值 3.1）但与亮度相关性弱（Spearman +0.35，p = 0.22），未确立。四场记为未解释场级系统误差（~0.25），排队检验 (a) SP 谱形自由重拟合与 (b) Virgo 更严耀斑过滤。来源：cognition-os/experiments/E014_nw_gradient_rass_omni_crosscheck.md；cognition-os/04_DECISION_LOG.md D49。E014 finished and D49 recorded (08:18Z, the PI agreed): the bright outer-NW four are not large-scale sky structure (RASS ratio 0.91 ± 0.12 vs XMM 1.28, no latitude gradient, −2.4 ± 1.4 %/deg) and not OMNI-traced solar-wind charge exchange (no window above 4e8 cm⁻² s⁻¹); the SP/QPB level is high (ratio 3.1) but correlates weakly with brightness (Spearman +0.35, p = 0.22), not established. The four fields are carried as an unexplained field-level systematic (~0.25), with tests (a) an SP-shape-free refit and (b) a stricter Virgo flare filter queued. Source: cognition-os/experiments/E014_nw_gradient_rass_omni_crosscheck.md; D49 in cognition-os/04_DECISION_LOG.md.

E013 A2 v1 + toy MC 完成（14:47Z / 17:49Z）：无 M31 分量被偏好（Δstat ≤ 1.07）；集中式 M31 β 晕（r_c ≤ 8 kpc，MW 常数）在 20 kpc 的插值单侧 95% 上限 0.047–0.164；toy-MC 覆盖率 0.975–0.984（略保守）、观测上限 = toy 中位数。来源：cognition-os/experiments/E013_joint_spatial_profile_likelihood.md。E013 A2 v1 + toy MC done (14:47Z / 17:49Z): no M31 component is preferred (Δstat ≤ 1.07); the interpolated one-sided 95% UL on a concentrated M31 beta halo (r_c ≤ 8 kpc, MW constant) at 20 kpc is 0.047–0.164; toy-MC coverage 0.975–0.984 (slightly conservative), observed limits = the toy median. Source: cognition-os/experiments/E013_joint_spatial_profile_likelihood.md.

E016 完成（09:04Z）：未解点源的软热分量 ≈0.15 F（高括号 0.28），空间上平，仅气体总和 ≈0.82（0.69）；最大单一未解项是 PSF 翼泄漏（≈0.12 F，模型估计）→ E019 排队。来源：cognition-os/experiments/E016_unresolved_point_source_contribution.md。E016 done (09:04Z): the unresolved-source soft-thermal term ≈0.15 F (0.28 at the high bracket), spatially flat, the gas-only total ≈0.82 (0.69); the single largest unresolved term is the PSF-wing leak (≈0.12 F, a model estimate) → E019 queued. Source: cognition-os/experiments/E016_unresolved_point_source_contribution.md.

E019 / E020 / E021 完成（21:05Z 接受）：E019 亮 bin f_leak 10.3 ± 8.6%（原值）／20.4 ± 7.8%（零点校正），14 主场泄漏 SB 0.16／0.33；E020 模型 C 下 14 场均值 0.964 → 0.819（当时记为单侧 −15%，后被 RT-01 推翻）；E021 清点 145 ObsID——class-A 22 个、30 kpc 以外仅 8 个（全在负银纬）。来源：cognition-os/experiments/E019、E020、E021。E019 / E020 / E021 done (accepted 21:05Z): E019's bright-bin f_leak 10.3 ± 8.6% raw / 20.4 ± 7.8% null-corrected, per-field leak SB 0.16/0.33; under E020's Model C the 14-field mean moves 0.964 → 0.819 (then read as a one-sided −15%, later overturned by RT-01); E021's inventory of 145 ObsIDs — 22 class A, only 8 beyond 30 kpc (all at negative latitude). Source: cognition-os/experiments/E019, E020, E021.

工作Work

执行者与时长：E013（codexnim A1 曲面 + Claude A2/toy MC）、E014（luna 主结果 + Hermes 校正轮，双跑）、E016（Sonnet，28 min，$0.61）、E018a（luna，09:27Z 起）、E019（codexnim）、E020（luna，20:52Z 完成）、E021（Hermes）、A1c（codexnim，21:05Z 派发）、E022（luna，21:05Z 派发）。来源：cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md 123–141 行。Executors and hours: E013 (codexnim's A1 surfaces plus Claude's A2/toy MC), E014 (luna's main result plus the Hermes correction round, dual run), E016 (Sonnet, 28 min, $0.61), E018a (luna, from 09:27Z), E019 (codexnim), E020 (luna, finished 20:52Z), E021 (Hermes), A1c (codexnim, dispatched 21:05Z), E022 (luna, dispatched 21:05Z). Source: rows 123–141 of cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md.

PI 决定：D48（测量冻结、论文定名）与 D49（NW 四场记为未解释场级系统误差、排队两项检验）。来源：cognition-os/04_DECISION_LOG.md。PI decisions: D48 (freeze the measurement, name the paper) and D49 (carry the NW four as an unexplained field-level systematic, queue the two tests). Source: cognition-os/04_DECISION_LOG.md.

部署：本站首次建成并当日部署（815f788f，08:34Z；随后 49eb2df8 去掉横幅）；刷新 1 于 17:23Z 部署（88b89916）；刷新 2 于 23:40Z 启动（stage4 新会话）。来源：cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md 126、128、135、142 行。Deploys: this site was first built and deployed the same day (815f788f at 08:34Z, then 49eb2df8 without the banner); refresh 1 deployed at 17:23Z (88b89916); refresh 2 launched at 23:40Z (stage4, new session). Source: rows 126, 128, 135 and 142 of cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md.

问题Problems

E014 首启失败：launcher 在非 git 根上报错，05:48:58Z 重启（ledger 已记）。处置：重跑成功，双跑结论一致。来源：cognition-os/experiments/E014「Relaunch」节。E014's first launch failed: the launcher errored on the non-git root; relaunched at 05:48:58Z (recorded in the ledger). Action: the rerun succeeded and the two arms agreed. Source: the "Relaunch" section of cognition-os/experiments/E014.

代理自己的错误：(i) 我给 E014 简报假设 RASS hp 图是 exposure——实际 hp_rN_exp 是 rate-uncertainty 图，本地无原生 counts/exposure，只能给 rate 图高斯值（luna 读文件头后改正）；(ii) Hermes 臂的 SP/QPB 数值算错（模型在 data id 上求值、QPB 未按源区标定）——校正轮后与 luna 一致；(iii) Hermes 臂的 RASS 环带几何有 cos/sin 互换（区域在 b≈+68°）——校正后与 luna 一致。来源：cognition-os/experiments/E014 interim 与 Hermes correction 节；cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md 124 行。The agent's own errors: (i) my E014 brief assumed the RASS hp maps were exposure — actually hp_rN_exp is the rate-uncertainty map, no native counts/exposure exist locally, so only rate-map Gaussian values could be given (luna corrected it after reading the headers); (ii) the Hermes arm's SP/QPB numbers were wrong (the model evaluated on the data id, QPB unscaled to the source area) — after the correction round they match luna; (iii) the Hermes arm's RASS annulus geometry had a cos/sin swap (the region is at b≈+68°) — corrected, consistent with luna. Source: the interim and Hermes-correction sections of cognition-os/experiments/E014; row 124 of cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md.

E018a 的初步解读后来被推翻：12:04Z 记录「外 NW 超出大半是拟合伪迹」（外四/对照四 1.295 → 1.168 → 1.130）——RT-01（2026-10-15）分解表明大半移动来自 v19 重收敛而非 SP 谱形。处置：见 2026-10-15/16 块。来源：cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md 129 行；cognition-os/experiments/E020「Red-team RT-01 triage」节。E018a's initial reading was later overturned: at 12:04Z "most of the outer-NW excess is a fitting artefact" was recorded (outer-four/control-four 1.295 → 1.168 → 1.130) — RT-01 (2026-10-15) showed most of the shift comes from re-converging the v19 fits, not the SP shape. Action: see the 2026-10-15/16 blocks. Source: row 129 of cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md; the "Red-team RT-01 triage" section of cognition-os/experiments/E020.

A1c 反复重启：densify bug 后重启（ETA ~05Z），随后再次重启（03:26Z，去 densify，ETA ~12:45Z）——约 3 小时损耗，报告被接受时已记。来源：cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md 140、146–147、162 行。A1c restarted repeatedly: restarted after a densify bug (ETA ~05Z), then restarted again (03:26Z, without densify, ETA ~12:45Z) — about 3 hours lost, recorded when the report was accepted. Source: rows 140, 146–147 and 162 of cognition-os/06_AGENT_LOG.md.

待 PI 决定For the PI

D48 与 D49 当日已决；D49 更新提案（改记 −15% 系统误差）当日作为「建议（未经评审）」待 PI——2026-10-15 被 RT-01 推翻后撤回（见 2026-10-15 块）。

D48 and D49 were decided that day; the D49-update proposal (re-carrying the −15% systematic) awaited the PI as a "Suggestion (not reviewed)" — it was withdrawn after RT-01 overturned it on 2026-10-15 (see the 2026-10-15 block).